Research

Welcome to our research portal. We provide comprehensive coverage on Ukrainian macroeconomics and politics as well as all major domestic industries such as metals and mining, agriculture, machine-building, fuel and energy, banking and others from both the equities and fixed income perspectives. 

Market View

  • Fixed income

    The sovereign traded well as heavy selling of several previous days apparently had finally cleared. Ukrenergo announced a new restructuring agreement supported by core bondholders, with some NPV estimates in the mid/high 90s, which could in theory support NAFTO and RAILUA. The latter, however, remained weak, with a few relatively small sellers going through the market. NAFTO traded in 1mio+ at 78 (+1pt). DTEKs continued to outperform (+1pt), with several buyers in the Energy bond — still, no offers as perhaps the Metinvest example (26s redeemed, even the 29s now trading at nearly 90) makes those look quite cheap.

  • Equities

    The KP-Dragon index dropped by 0.5% in a mixed session. KYIV closed 3.2% lower at $11.5 ($6.5m in volume), while FXPO recovered by 1.3% to GBp 32.4 in $3.9m. Among agros, IMC lost 1.9%, MHPC dipped by 0.2% to $8.84, KER edged 0.1% lower, AST was flat. Mixed global markets imply sideways trading for Ukrainian names today.

Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
KYIV US USD 11.72 11.73 11.73 1.9
AST PW PLN 47.95 48.2 48.2 1.5
MHPC LI USD 8.96 8.98 8.96 1.4
IMC PW PLN 37.15 37.3 37.3 0.1
KER PW PLN 19.6 19.7 19.6 -0.1
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
FXPO LN GBp 32.1 32.18 32.1 -0.9
KER PW PLN 19.6 19.7 19.6 -0.1
IMC PW PLN 37.15 37.3 37.3 0.1
MHPC LI USD 8.96 8.98 8.96 1.4
AST PW PLN 47.95 48.2 48.2 1.5
Ticker Currency Close 1D, % Volume
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
SPX 7160.79 0.74 9.22 4.61
PFTS 460.21 0.00 -0.24 -0.22
DAX 24128.98 -0.11 6.59 -1.48
FTSE100 10379.08 -0.75 4.15 4.51
KP-Dragon 2,244.45 -2.83 6.23 -5.42
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
CDX.EM 97.21223 0.00 1.26 -1.73
5-year UST 99.8125 0.00 0.00 0.00
10-year UST 98.578125 0.00 0.00 0.00
6M USD LIBOR 4.68213 -0.17 -8.86 -16.18
12M USD LIBOR 6.04143 1.36 5.43 10.20
Ukraine A29 77.75 -0.64 7.99 4.01
Ukraine A36 60.0 -1.23 12.68 1.69
Ukraine B36 52.75 -1.40 8.21 -7.05
EMBI+ Ukraine 886.00 1.14 -14.48 -10.78
CEMBI Ukraine 852.96 -0.19 4.74 -33.04
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
UAH:USD (NBU) 44 -0.14 -0.19 -3.75
UAH:EUR (NBU) 51.55 -0.33 -1.27 -3.40
USD:GBP 1.35 0.49 0.91 0.43
USD:EUR 1.17 0.30 0.95 -0.24
PLN:USD 3.62 0.36 1.67 -0.83
Name Close 1D, % 1M, % YTD, %
WTI Crude Oil ($/bbl) 99.63 2.64 11.67 73.51
Corn ($/t) 178.0 0.72 -2.90 2.67
Wheat ($/t) 219.3 0.97 0.29 17.75
Sugar ($/t) 297.0 1.20 -14.20 -10.26
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
AST PW PLN 47.95 48.20 48.20 1.47
FXPO LN GBp 32.10 32.18 32.10 -0.93
IMC PW PLN 37.15 37.30 37.30 0.13
KER PW PLN 19.60 19.70 19.60 -0.10
MHPC LI USD 8.96 8.98 8.96 1.36
KYIV US USD 11.72 11.73 11.73 1.91
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %
Ticker Currency Bid Ask Close 1D, %

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